Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Maurice Greene

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
78.5"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Maurice GreeneNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
66%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
56%
Strike defense
46%
5.77
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesMaurice Greene
1600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
1 (11%)
Submission
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves73%
Maurice Greene 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 73% favorite over Maurice Greene in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1595), separated by just 4 points.

Maurice Greene enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Greene 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.