Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Neil Wain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Wain
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Neil Wain

“Old Skool”

13-4-0HeavyweightM4TC

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
78.5"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight242 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Neil WainNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1474 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
66%
Strike accuracy
50%
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.57
56%
Strike defense
43%
5.77
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesNeil Wain
1600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
1 (11%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves60%
Neil Wain 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 60% favorite over Neil Wain in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1597), separated by just 2 points.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neil Wain 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.