Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Roy Boughton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roy Boughton
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Roy Boughton

“Black Dynamite”

14-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record14-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78.5"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight253 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Roy BoughtonNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
66%
Strike accuracy
60%
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
56%
Strike defense
52%
5.77
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
3.24

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesRoy Boughton
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (11%)
Submission
8 (57%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves66%
Roy Boughton 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 66% favorite over Roy Boughton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1594), separated by just 5 points.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roy Boughton 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.