Eduardo Neves vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78.5"Reach78,0"
265 lbsWeight241 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eduardo NevesTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eduardo Neves70%
Todd Duffee 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 70% favorite over Todd Duffee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Todd Duffee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.