Egor Kostyuchenko vs Luis Francischinelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'5"
73"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamCalifornia MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1673
If they lose-24→ 1625
If they win+24→ 1671
If they lose-24→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Egor KostyuchenkoLuis Francischinelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Francischinelli56%
Egor Kostyuchenko 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Francischinelli a 56% favorite over Egor Kostyuchenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Egor Kostyuchenko's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.
Egor Kostyuchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Luis Francischinelli enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Egor Kostyuchenko finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Luis Francischinelli 100%.
Luis Francischinelli carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.