Combat Edge Intelligence

Eimear Darcy vs Elsa Cerezo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record1-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-Reach-
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Compound Martial ArtsTeamKabeza Team

What's at stake

Elsa Cerezo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Eimear Darcy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eimear DarcyNow 1479
If they win+27→ 1506
If they lose-21→ 1458
Elsa CerezoNow 1530
If they win+21→ 1551
If they lose-27→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eimear DarcyElsa Cerezo
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Elsa Cerezo61%
Eimear Darcy 39%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Elsa Cerezo a 61% favorite over Eimear Darcy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Elsa Cerezo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1479, a 51-point edge.

Eimear Darcy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eimear Darcy finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.