Elez Guri vs Jacob Silva
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Silva51%
Elez Guri 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Silva a 51% favorite over Elez Guri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.
Elez Guri enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jacob Silva 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record11-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'5"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Ars MartisTeamMetro Fight Club· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elez GuriJacob Silva