Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Theodorou vs Gregory Rodrigues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75,5"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kros GymTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias TheodorouNow 1772
If they win+16→ 1788
If they lose-16→ 1756
Gregory RodriguesNow 1765
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
5.53
42%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.78
53%
Strike defense
51%
1.27
Takedown avg.
1.90
28%
Takedown accuracy
16%
59%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Elias TheodorouGregory Rodrigues
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (16%)
10 (53%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues70%
Elias Theodorou 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 70% favorite over Elias Theodorou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Theodorou's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1772 vs 1765), separated by just 7 points.

Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 79%.

Elias Theodorou and Gregory Rodrigues share 1 common opponent: Brad Tavares.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2017
Brad Tavares
WinKO/TKO · 2024