Elias Theodorou vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75,5"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kros GymTeamGOR MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1788
If they lose-16→ 1756
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias TheodorouShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shara Magomedov60%
Elias Theodorou 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 60% favorite over Elias Theodorou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Theodorou's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1772 vs 1765), separated by just 7 points.
Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Elias Theodorou carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.