Combat Edge Intelligence

Elijah Smith vs Kai Asakura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Team VictoryTeamJapan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elijah SmithNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Kai AsakuraNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
47%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.53
48%
Strike defense
52%
3.51
Takedown avg.
0
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
50%
0.88
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elijah SmithKai Asakura
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
2 (20%)
Submission
3 (14%)
3 (30%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elijah Smith and Kai Asakura within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1719), separated by just 1 points.

Elijah Smith enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Elijah Smith finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Kai Asakura 77%.

Elijah Smith carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.