Combat Edge Intelligence

Elijah Smith vs Su Young You

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record16-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
71"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team VictoryTeamBon Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

Elijah Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Su Young You carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elijah SmithNow 1718
If they win+15→ 1733
If they lose-17→ 1701
Su Young YouNow 1691
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
47%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
48%
Strike defense
70%
3.51
Takedown avg.
3.80
53%
Takedown accuracy
48%
57%
Takedown defense
67%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Elijah SmithSu Young You
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (30%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Elijah Smith61%
Su Young You 39%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Elijah Smith a 61% favorite over Su Young You in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Elijah Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1691, a 27-point edge.

Elijah Smith enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Elijah Smith finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Su Young You 50%.

Elijah Smith carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.