Combat Edge Intelligence

Elijah Smith vs Toshiomi Kazama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"Reach 69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team VictoryTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

Elijah Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Toshiomi Kazama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elijah SmithNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-20→ 1698
Toshiomi KazamaNow 1622
If they win+20→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
47%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
48%
Strike defense
43%
3.51
Takedown avg.
1.68
53%
Takedown accuracy
13%
57%
Takedown defense
67%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Elijah SmithToshiomi Kazama
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
2 (20%)
Submission
6 (55%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Elijah Smith78%
Toshiomi Kazama 22%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Elijah Smith a 78% favorite over Toshiomi Kazama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Elijah Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1622, a 96-point edge.

Elijah Smith enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Elijah Smith finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.

Elijah Smith carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.