Elijah Smith vs Toshiomi Kazama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"Reach 69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Elijah Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Toshiomi Kazama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-20→ 1698
If they win+20→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elijah SmithToshiomi Kazama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elijah Smith67%
Toshiomi Kazama 33%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Elijah Smith a 67% favorite over Toshiomi Kazama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Elijah Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1623, a 95-point edge.
Elijah Smith enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Elijah Smith finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.
Elijah Smith carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.