Combat Edge Intelligence

Elizeu Zaleski vs Jonathan Micallef

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-1Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM SystemTeamCombat 1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687
Jonathan MicallefNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.13
21%
Takedown accuracy
67%
69%
Takedown defense
75%
0.45
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Elizeu ZaleskiJonathan Micallef
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
3 (12%)
Submission
4 (40%)
7 (28%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Micallef71%
Elizeu Zaleski 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 71% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elizeu Zaleski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1696), separated by just 3 points.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Elizeu Zaleski finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Micallef 60%.

Jonathan Micallef carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.