Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Oumar Sy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oumar Sy
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Oumar Sy

12-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1699Good

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamBulgarian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Oumar SyNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.72
TBD
Strike defense
70%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.73
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovOumar Sy
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (33%)
8 (67%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov51%
Oumar Sy 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 51% favorite over Oumar Sy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oumar Sy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1699), separated by just 5 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Oumar Sy 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.