Elsa Cerezo vs Ilara Joanne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record13-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
-Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kabeza TeamTeamPitbull Brothers· 1621 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1553
If they lose-25→ 1505
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elsa CerezoIlara Joanne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne60%
Elsa Cerezo 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 60% favorite over Elsa Cerezo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elsa Cerezo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1522), separated by just 8 points.
Ilara Joanne 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.