Elton Dedaj vs Luis Melendez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Luis Melendez54%
Elton Dedaj 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Melendez a 54% favorite over Elton Dedaj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Luis Melendez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1576 to 1538, a 38-point edge.
Luis Melendez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"Reach-
171 lbsWeight184 lbs
Animals MMATeam
What's at stake
Luis Melendez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Elton Dedaj carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1565
If they lose-21→ 1517
If they win+21→ 1597
If they lose-27→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elton DedajLuis Melendez