Elton Dedaj vs Stephen Costello
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Costello52%
Elton Dedaj 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 52% favorite over Elton Dedaj in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elton Dedaj's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1538), separated by just 0 points.
Stephen Costello 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach-
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
Animals MMATeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elton DedajStephen Costello