Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Elves Brener carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+18→ 1710
If they lose-14→ 1678
Esteban RibovicsNow 1728
If they win+14→ 1742
If they lose-18→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.99
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
48%
Strike defense
55%
1.23
Takedown avg.
0.35
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
66%
0
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Elves BrenerEsteban Ribovics
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
11 (69%)
Submission
5 (33%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics60%
Elves Brener 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 60% favorite over Elves Brener in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1692, a 36-point edge.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 80%.

Elves Brener carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.