Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Kaynan Kruschewsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record15-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach43,5"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRicardo Pereira Academy

What's at stake

Elves Brener is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kaynan Kruschewsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-18→ 1674
Kaynan KruschewskyNow 1657
If they win+18→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.99
Sig. strikes / min
5.67
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.71
48%
Strike defense
47%
1.23
Takedown avg.
2.74
24%
Takedown accuracy
100%
76%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Elves BrenerKaynan Kruschewsky
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
11 (69%)
Submission
9 (60%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener75%
Kaynan Kruschewsky 25%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 75% favorite over Kaynan Kruschewsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Elves Brener holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1657, a 35-point edge.

Kaynan Kruschewsky enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kaynan Kruschewsky 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.