Elves Brener vs Kaynan Kruschewsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record15-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach43,5"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRicardo Pereira Academy
What's at stake
Elves Brener is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kaynan Kruschewsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1691
If they lose-17→ 1659
If they win+17→ 1672
If they lose-15→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elves BrenerKaynan Kruschewsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elves Brener74%
Kaynan Kruschewsky 26%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 74% favorite over Kaynan Kruschewsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Elves Brener holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1655, a 21-point edge.
Kaynan Kruschewsky enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kaynan Kruschewsky 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.