Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Roman Bogatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamBoets MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Roman BogatovNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
48%
Strike defense
45%
1.23
Takedown avg.
1
24%
Takedown accuracy
9%
76%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elves BrenerRoman Bogatov
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
11 (69%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (13%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener57%
Roman Bogatov 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 57% favorite over Roman Bogatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Roman Bogatov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.