Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record20-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
48%
Strike defense
64%
1.23
Takedown avg.
2.13
24%
Takedown accuracy
39%
76%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elves BrenerZubaira Tukhugov
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
11 (69%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (13%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener70%
Zubaira Tukhugov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 70% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1692), separated by just 0 points.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Elves Brener carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.