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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record20-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Zubaira Tukhugov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Elves Brener carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elves BrenerNow 1676
If they win+17→ 1693
If they lose-15→ 1661
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+11→ 1703
If they lose-13→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.76
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
51%
Strike defense
64%
0.99
Takedown avg.
2.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
39%
76%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elves BrenerZubaira Tukhugov
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
11 (65%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (12%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener61%
Zubaira Tukhugov 39%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 61% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zubaira Tukhugov's way (48%).

Zubaira Tukhugov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1676, a 16-point edge.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Elves Brener carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.