Combat Edge Intelligence

Elvis Mutapcic vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-1Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
42,0"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
RoundKick GymTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elvis MutapcicNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Robert ValentinNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
41%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
39%
Strike defense
33%
0
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
81%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Elvis MutapcicRobert Valentin
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
6 (38%)
Submission
8 (67%)
3 (19%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin70%
Elvis Mutapcic 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 70% favorite over Elvis Mutapcic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elvis Mutapcic's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Elvis Mutapcic finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.