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Combat Edge Intelligence

Emanuel Arzola vs Pedro Pena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Pedro Pena
mx

Pedro Pena

“Xolo”

10-4-0FeatherweightMMAM

1561Solid

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record10-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team SteveTeamUnderdogs MMA

What's at stake

Emanuel Arzola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Pedro Pena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Emanuel ArzolaNow 1602
If they win+21→ 1623
If they lose-27→ 1575
Pedro PenaNow 1561
If they win+18→ 1579
If they lose-14→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Emanuel ArzolaPedro Pena
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (25%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Emanuel Arzola78%
Pedro Pena 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Emanuel Arzola a 78% favorite over Pedro Pena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Emanuel Arzola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1561, a 41-point edge.

Emanuel Arzola enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Emanuel Arzola finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Pena 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.