Combat Edge Intelligence

Emiliano Sordi vs Raffael Cerqueira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nova Uniao ArgentinaTeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emiliano SordiNow 1625
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613
Raffael CerqueiraNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
48%
Strike defense
37%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
40%
8.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Emiliano SordiRaffael Cerqueira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
7 (26%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (7%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Emiliano Sordi and Raffael Cerqueira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1628), separated by just 3 points.

Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Emiliano Sordi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.