Combat Edge Intelligence

Emilio Cuellar vs Felipe Bunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record14-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Centro de Artes Marciales MixtasTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emilio CuellarNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Felipe BunesNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.26

Trajectory

Emilio CuellarFelipe Bunes
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
1 (11%)
Submission
9 (69%)
3 (33%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Emilio Cuellar and Felipe Bunes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Emilio Cuellar finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Bunes 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.