Emily Ducote vs Jessica Penne
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Emily Ducote62%
Jessica Penne 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Emily Ducote a 62% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Emily Ducote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1548, a 49-point edge.
Emily Ducote enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Emily Ducote finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Penne 71%.
Emily Ducote and Jessica Penne share 2 common opponents: Lupita Godinez and Danielle Taylor.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record14-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'5"
35,0"Reach67"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamAlliance MMA· 1677 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Emily Ducote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jessica Penne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1607
If they lose-14→ 1583
If they win+18→ 1566
If they lose-14→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Emily DucoteJessica Penne