Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Ducote vs Patricia Alujas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record9-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
35,0"ReachTBD
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamEvolucao Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emily DucoteNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Patricia AlujasNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.45
Sig. strikes / min
5.83
52%
Strike accuracy
32%
7.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.25
58%
Strike defense
45%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
94%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Emily DucotePatricia Alujas
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
5 (33%)
Submission
2 (25%)
6 (40%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Patricia Alujas60%
Emily Ducote 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patricia Alujas a 60% favorite over Emily Ducote in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1600), separated by just 3 points.

Emily Ducote enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Emily Ducote finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Patricia Alujas 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.