Emrah Sonmez vs Paweł Polityło
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
BKK FightersTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Emrah Sonmez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Paweł Polityło carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-18→ 1626
If they win+18→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Emrah SonmezPaweł Polityło
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Emrah Sonmez55%
Paweł Polityło 45%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Emrah Sonmez a 55% favorite over Paweł Polityło in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Emrah Sonmez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1603, a 41-point edge.
Emrah Sonmez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Emrah Sonmez finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Paweł Polityło 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.