Paweł Polityło vs Emrah Sonmez

Nov 7, 2026 · FNC.TV

Combat Edge model forecast46%Paweł Polityło54%Emrah SonmezFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueSportski Centar Morača

BroadcastFNC.TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on FNC.TV.

US East (ET): Sat 12:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:30 AM
Your time

Paweł PolityłoThe Polish Eagle |12-6-0Paweł Polityło vs Emrah SonmezEmrah SonmezThe Anatolian Wolf |16-5-0

Paweł PolityłoThe Polish Eagle12-6-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

12-6-0Record16-5-0

34Age34

5'6"Height5'10"

-Reach-

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Emrah SonmezThe Anatolian Wolf16-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Emrah Sonmez owns a 41-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Paweł Polityło and Emrah Sonmez across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paweł PolityłoEmrah Sonmez

Recent form

Paweł PolityłoW L W L W · +11 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Emrah SonmezW W L W W · +26 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Paweł Polityło1603+12 last move

Emrah Sonmez1644+9 last move

Why they are ranked here

Paweł Polityło#251 of 451 active Featherweight fighters · 1603 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Patryk Chrobak (rated 1500 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Bruno Santos (rated 1614 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +11 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #250 Damien Anderson, 1 ahead of #252 Dennis Buzukja.

Emrah Sonmez#172 of 451 active Featherweight fighters · 1644 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Adam Meskini (rated 1626 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Liam Gittins (rated 1580 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +26 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #171 Brahyan Zurcher, 0 ahead of #173 Kai Kamaka III.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

46%Paweł Polityło54%Emrah Sonmez

Model favoriteEmrah Sonmez

Elo baseline56% for Emrah Sonmez

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Emrah SonmezStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Emrah Sonmez leads the full model at 54%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1603 · 1644Emrah Sonmez leads by 41 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1539 · 1519Paweł Polityło faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth18 · 21 fightsEmrah Sonmez has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Paweł PolityłoNow 1603 · #251 Featherweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1621

Loses by decision-14→ 1589

Emrah SonmezNow 1644 · #172 Featherweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1658

Loses by decision-18→ 1626

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Paweł PolityłovsEmrah Sonmez

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Paweł Polityłodecision leads 67% of wins

Emrah SonmezKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Paweł PolityłoEmrah Sonmez

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min1.47

UFC featherweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracy47

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min1.73

UFC featherweight average : 3.90

Not availableSig. strike defense48

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown average5

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracy0

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defense0

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission average0

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

4Wins by knockout9

0Wins by submission3

8Wins by decision4

1Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

5Losses by decision3

Paweł Polityło vs Emrah Sonmez is a scheduled Lightweight fight on FNC 35 : ZDRAVKOVIC VS VARGAS. Paweł Polityło enters with a 12-6-0 record and Emrah Sonmez enters with a 16-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.