Enrique Barzola vs Kevin Aguilar
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Enrique Barzola58%
Kevin Aguilar 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Enrique Barzola a 58% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Aguilar's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1685), separated by just 12 points.
Enrique Barzola enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Enrique Barzola finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Aguilar 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-11-2Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1659 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamLongview MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Enrique BarzolaKevin Aguilar