Combat Edge Intelligence

Enrique Barzola vs Kevin Aguilar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Aguilar
us

Kevin Aguilar

“The Angel of Death”

17-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

23-11-2Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1689 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamLongview MMA

What's at stake

Kevin Aguilar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Enrique Barzola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Enrique BarzolaNow 1666
If they win+13→ 1679
If they lose-11→ 1655
Kevin AguilarNow 1685
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
69%
Strike defense
52%
4.20
Takedown avg.
0.16
40%
Takedown accuracy
17%
67%
Takedown defense
79%
0.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Enrique BarzolaKevin Aguilar
16501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
6 (26%)
Submission
1 (6%)
12 (52%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Enrique Barzola53%
Kevin Aguilar 47%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Enrique Barzola a 53% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Aguilar's way (47%).

Kevin Aguilar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1666, a 19-point edge.

Enrique Barzola enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Enrique Barzola finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Aguilar 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.