Combat Edge Intelligence

Enrique Barzola vs Movsar Evloev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-9-2Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Enrique Barzola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Enrique BarzolaNow 1661
If they win+18→ 1679
If they lose-6→ 1655
Movsar EvloevNow 1855
If they win+8→ 1863
If they lose-24→ 1831

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
42%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
69%
Strike defense
61%
4.20
Takedown avg.
4.67
46%
Takedown accuracy
48%
67%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Enrique BarzolaMovsar Evloev
165017001750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
4 (20%)
Submission
4 (20%)
11 (55%)
Decision
13 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Movsar Evloev92%
Enrique Barzola 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 92% favorite over Enrique Barzola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1661, a 194-point edge.

Enrique Barzola enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Enrique Barzola finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.

Movsar Evloev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.