Enrique Barzola vs Saifullah Dzhabrailov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Saifullah Dzhabrailov54%
Enrique Barzola 46%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Saifullah Dzhabrailov a 54% favorite over Enrique Barzola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Saifullah Dzhabrailov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1673, a 55-point edge.
Enrique Barzola enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Enrique Barzola finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Saifullah Dzhabrailov 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-11-2Record19-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1659 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Saifullah Dzhabrailov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Enrique Barzola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1687
If they lose-10→ 1663
If they win+13→ 1741
If they lose-19→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Enrique BarzolaSaifullah Dzhabrailov