Combat Edge Intelligence

Eoin Sheridan vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'3"
81"Reach74"
171 lbsWeight183 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eoin SheridanNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eoin SheridanZach Scroggin
150015501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Eoin Sheridan60%
Zach Scroggin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eoin Sheridan a 60% favorite over Zach Scroggin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zach Scroggin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.

Eoin Sheridan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Eoin Sheridan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Eoin Sheridan carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.