Combat Edge Intelligence

Erasyl Shukataev vs Herbert Burns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record11-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach 73"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs
Almas KyrandaryTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erasyl ShukataevNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Herbert BurnsNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.17
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.84

Trajectory

Erasyl ShukataevHerbert Burns
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
6 (46%)
Submission
8 (73%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Erasyl Shukataev71%
Herbert Burns 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erasyl Shukataev a 71% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Herbert Burns's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Erasyl Shukataev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Herbert Burns 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.