Eric Nolan vs Luke Jumeau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach40.50
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamPhuket Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eric NolanLuke Jumeau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eric Nolan60%
Luke Jumeau 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 60% favorite over Luke Jumeau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1537), separated by just 0 points.
Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luke Jumeau 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.