Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Randy Mboyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record4-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight157 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Randy MboyoNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eric NolanRandy Mboyo
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo75%
Eric Nolan 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 75% favorite over Eric Nolan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.