Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Richie Hightower

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"HeightTBD
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Richie HightowerNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
4.62
39%
Strike accuracy
36%
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.92
42%
Strike defense
21%
0
Takedown avg.
3.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric NolanRichie Hightower
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (25%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan66%
Richie Hightower 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 66% favorite over Richie Hightower in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richie Hightower's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Richie Hightower 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.