Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537 Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0 Record 6-4-0
Middleweight Division Welterweight
5'11" Height 6'1"
74" Reach -
185 lbs Weight 171 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial Arts Team SBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Stephen CostelloNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.13
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eric Nolan Stephen Costello
1500 1550 1600 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Costello70%
Eric Nolan30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 70% favorite over Eric Nolan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Nolan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1534), separated by just 3 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.