Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Steven Kennedy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average
Steven Kennedy
au

Steven Kennedy

“The Steamrolla”

27-11-0WelterweightHSS

1536Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record27-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach71.00
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamKickass MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Steven KennedyNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
39%
Strike accuracy
36%
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.52
42%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
2.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
71%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric NolanSteven Kennedy
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (30%)
2 (25%)
Submission
13 (48%)
2 (25%)
Decision
6 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan60%
Steven Kennedy 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 60% favorite over Steven Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1536), separated by just 1 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Steven Kennedy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Steven Kennedy 78%.

Eric Nolan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.