Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Tiki Ghosn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record10-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight169 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Tiki GhosnNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
39%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
42%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0.41
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
71%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric NolanTiki Ghosn
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (25%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan60%
Tiki Ghosn 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 60% favorite over Tiki Ghosn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tiki Ghosn's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1540), separated by just 3 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tiki Ghosn enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tiki Ghosn 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.