Eric Nolan vs Vadim Ogar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record10-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight157 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1650 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eric NolanVadim Ogar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eric Nolan55%
Vadim Ogar 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 55% favorite over Vadim Ogar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1536), separated by just 2 points.
Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Ogar 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.