AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schwartz vs Jesse Murray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Eric Schwartz
us

Eric Schwartz

“The Great”

2-0-0Light HeavyweightWEC

1553Solid
Jesse Murray
us

Jesse Murray

“Hollywood”

10-6-0Light HeavyweightAFP

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
The PitTeamStrongstyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric SchwartzNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Jesse MurrayNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
Not available
Strike accuracy
29%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.72
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric SchwartzJesse Murray
1550200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesse Murray52%
Eric Schwartz 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Murray a 52% favorite over Eric Schwartz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1557), separated by just 4 points.

Eric Schwartz enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jesse Murray 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.