Erick Gonzalez vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ScienceTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Erick Gonzalez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1598
If they lose-10→ 1566
If they win+7→ 1727
If they lose-17→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick GonzalezJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller73%
Erick Gonzalez 27%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 73% favorite over Erick Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1576, a 144-point edge.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Gonzalez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Erick Gonzalez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.