Erick Gonzalez vs Trevor Peek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
75"Reach 70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ScienceTeamAgoge Combatives· 1612 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Trevor Peek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Erick Gonzalez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-18→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick GonzalezTrevor Peek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Peek58%
Erick Gonzalez 42%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 58% favorite over Erick Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Trevor Peek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1576, a 39-point edge.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Trevor Peek enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Gonzalez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.
Erick Gonzalez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.