Erick Gonzalez vs Trevor Peek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
75"Reach 70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ScienceTeamAgoge Combatives
What's at stake
Trevor Peek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Erick Gonzalez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1594
If they lose-13→ 1562
If they win+13→ 1646
If they lose-19→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick GonzalezTrevor Peek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Peek66%
Erick Gonzalez 34%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 66% favorite over Erick Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Trevor Peek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1575, a 58-point edge.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Trevor Peek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Gonzalez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.
Erick Gonzalez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.