Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Maia vs Solomon Renfro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach40,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erick MaiaNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Solomon RenfroNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.53
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Erick MaiaSolomon Renfro
150015501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
6 (67%)
Submission
1 (9%)
1 (11%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Maia61%
Solomon Renfro 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 61% favorite over Solomon Renfro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Solomon Renfro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Solomon Renfro 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.