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Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Maia vs Solomon Simon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamTeam Ryano Waterford· 1566 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Solomon Simon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Erick Maia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erick MaiaNow 1601
If they win+18→ 1619
If they lose-14→ 1587
Solomon SimonNow 1638
If they win+14→ 1652
If they lose-18→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Erick MaiaSolomon Simon
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
6 (67%)
Submission
3 (38%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Maia54%
Solomon Simon 46%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 54% favorite over Solomon Simon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Solomon Simon's way (45%).

Solomon Simon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1601, a 37-point edge.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Solomon Simon 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.