Erick Maia vs Solomon Simon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamTeam Ryano Waterford· 1584 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Solomon Simon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Erick Maia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1588
If they win+19→ 1686
If they lose-29→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erick MaiaSolomon Simon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Solomon Simon62%
Erick Maia 38%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Solomon Simon a 62% favorite over Erick Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Solomon Simon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1601, a 66-point edge.
Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Solomon Simon 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.