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Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Silva vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Erick Silva
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Erick Silva

“A Fierce Tiger”

20-11-0WelterweightBFC

1557Solid
Neil Magny
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Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

32-14-0WelterweightUFC

1769Great

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erick SilvaNow 1557
If they win+25→ 1582
If they lose-7→ 1550
Neil MagnyNow 1769
If they win+5→ 1774
If they lose-19→ 1750

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.85
Takedown avg.
2.17
35%
Takedown accuracy
25%
57%
Takedown defense
55%
1.41
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Erick SilvaNeil Magny
16001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (31%)
13 (65%)
Submission
5 (16%)
3 (15%)
Decision
17 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny86%
Erick Silva 14%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 86% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1557, a 212-point edge.

Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.

Erick Silva and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Yaroslav Amosov.

Neil Magny carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
Yaroslav Amosov
LossSubmission · 2025