Erick Silva vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-8→ 1567
If they win+6→ 1764
If they lose-18→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick SilvaNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny84%
Erick Silva 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 84% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1575, a 183-point edge.
Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Erick Silva and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Yaroslav Amosov.
Neil Magny carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.