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Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Perez vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Perez
mx

Erik Perez

“Goyito”

20-9-0FeatherweightBFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach 70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erik PerezNow 1657
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Nathan FletcherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
41%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
67%
Strike defense
58%
3.16
Takedown avg.
3.37
56%
Takedown accuracy
31%
69%
Takedown defense
50%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Erik PerezNathan Fletcher
1650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
8 (40%)
Submission
7 (64%)
7 (35%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher65%
Erik Perez 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 65% favorite over Erik Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erik Perez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Nathan Fletcher carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.