Combat Edge Intelligence

Erin Blanchfield vs JJ Aldrich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFreedom Fighters

What's at stake

Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — JJ Aldrich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erin BlanchfieldNow 1767
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-20→ 1747
JJ AldrichNow 1667
If they win+20→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
59%
Strike defense
61%
1.96
Takedown avg.
0.75
21%
Takedown accuracy
27%
78%
Takedown defense
68%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Erin BlanchfieldJJ Aldrich
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
5 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (50%)
Decision
12 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Erin Blanchfield79%
JJ Aldrich 21%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 79% favorite over JJ Aldrich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1667, a 100-point edge.

Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.

JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, JJ Aldrich 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.