Erin Blanchfield vs JJ Aldrich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record15-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — JJ Aldrich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1778
If they lose-21→ 1746
If they win+21→ 1672
If they lose-11→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldJJ Aldrich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erin Blanchfield81%
JJ Aldrich 19%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 81% favorite over JJ Aldrich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1651, a 116-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, JJ Aldrich 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.