Erin Blanchfield vs Natália Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record21-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1783
If they lose-16→ 1751
If they win+16→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldNatália Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natália Silva56%
Erin Blanchfield 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 56% favorite over Erin Blanchfield in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erin Blanchfield's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1760), separated by just 7 points.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Natália Silva 60%.
Erin Blanchfield and Natália Silva share 2 common opponents: Rose Namajunas and Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.