Erin Blanchfield vs Natália Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record20-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Borracha
What's at stake
Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Natália Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1782
If they lose-17→ 1750
If they win+17→ 1763
If they lose-15→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldNatália Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erin Blanchfield and Natália Silva within a point of even.
Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1746, a 21-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Natália Silva 63%.
Erin Blanchfield and Natália Silva share 2 common opponents: Rose Namajunas and Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.